Welcome to the outrage factory

Two years later…

When I first wrote “Anatomy of a moral panic” in February 2024, I had only a faint glimmer of what was to come. While I knew that as a country we were on the precipice of authoritarianism, I was assured that my great fear that this would accelerate during the upcoming election — with propaganda about trans people ultimately forming a primary rhetorical cudgel for fascism, was an overreaction. I was also assured he wasn’t going to win or that it wouldn’t make a difference.

But the astronomical rise in stories about trans people that I’d collected over the previous year told a different story. This massive, messy dataset was brimming with increasingly vile discussions that only seemed to metastasize with time. 2023 was nothing compared to 2024, and 2025 showed no signs of slowing down. Two years later we know how the story turns out. Our annihilation has become a central organizing principle of the Republican Party.

Every time I think I’ve scratched the surface of what I’ve come to call “the outrage factory”, I lose an entire weekend combing through stacks of awfulness that takes a whole bank of monitors to see. The following are my newest notes as I try and make sense of how we got to where we are. How they manufactured the illusion of a dangerous all-powerful enemy out of a tiny demographic with no political influence, financial resources, nor social capital.

 

Fox News publishes more about trans people than any outlet in the US — including LGBTQ+ publications

 


To create an enemy, make them seem ubiquitous

Restricting to the six conservative outlets I cited as indices of the rising tide of anti-trans sentiment, and only using the 3 mainstream keywords which made the core dataset: 3,453 unique URLs were added to the index during the time the bot has been running. 1,787 are from Fox News alone. In every day of the year since 2023, Fox News has run more articles referencing transgender people than there were days in the year.

This is equally true for the UK, where both the Telegraph and the Daily Mail outstrip even the BBC by 2-5x in any given month.

(Note: using the expanded dataset, 2,157 unique URLs were recorded from foxnews.com. For most of this post, I focus on the core dataset, as Fox News’ reliance on A/B testing can give multiple hits for the same article.)

 
 

Controlling language

While the 3-keyword design of the original scraper only provides a sample of the links served via RSS based on specific keywords, the design did pay dividends as can be seen below. With respect to the initial question surrounding linguistic/discursive drift, patterns we all experienced in real-time are immediately visible. While the term “transgender” produced far more hits in general, filtering those out shows a background process of updated style-guides and competing opinions about which keywords to emphasize related to “biological sex” and “gender identity.”

The linguistic drift I’d talked about in “Hate in a post-information age” has come full circle, and it was the word “transgender” itself that was hurled as invective in the 2024 election that happened 8 months after publication. How did this happen? Does it even matter?

A large part of destigmatization of transgender people and our lives hinged on cleaving apart the discussion of “sex versus gender” from our basic existence as transgender people. Put most simply, for the briefest possible moment in time rather than providing qualifiers or over-emphasizing assigned sex at birth or equivocating on whether we know we are who we say we are, the word “transgender” became a proper adjective.

And as small as it may sound, the strategy to undo this progress therefore hinged on emphasizing sex and gender strategically at different times. Wherever possible, many outlets would add both of these pieces of information, such as: “[she] identifies as a woman but is biologically male.” Whereas “Sophie is a transgender woman” immediately communicates all the information the average person needs to know, and communicates those other pieces of information just as effectively without emphasizing their primacy, combining these has the opposite effect. In the previous example, everyone knows “Sophie” was assigned male at birth— it’s communicated by saying she is transgender the same way saying that someone is short communicates that they are not tall.

Adding all three of these words appears to have become the norm again in outlets like the Washington Post, (eg: “she is transgender, and identifies as a woman but is biologically male.”) emphasizes subjectivity, delegitimizing the concept of transgender people in the eyes of many who had started to acclimate to the idea. Words are powerful.

The Daily Mail provided more coverage (derogatory) of trans people than any other outlet in the UK


But in addition to the words used, the sheer volume continued to astonish as it did in 2024. Like Fox News in the US, the Daily Mail provided more coverage of trans people than any other outlet in the UK, followed only by the Telegraph— equally trans-hostile, and not shy about it.

The asymmetry is astounding. Despite the widespread, undying claim to the contrary, mainstream news outlets produce news about trans people at a rate roughly a fifth of what the right-wing press churns out.

 

While the post-mortem of the 2024 election endlessly cited the “Kamala is for they/them” attack ad as the tipping point, this elides the fact that even if this were said tipping point, it was only because not a single day passed from 2023 onward where Americans weren’t bombarded with articles about trans people that were at best negatively-valenced, at worst outright libel and incitement. By the time that particular match was lit, the entire United States had become a densely packed powder keg.

To create outrage, emphasize the absurd

While the images above show just a cross-section of some of the hundreds of thousands of observations captured by the scraper, they also show how any attempt at accuracy or veracity has gone completely out the window, with a chillingly familiar trend towards the bombastic that has led to pograms at other times in history.

Through every iteration of this series, I’ve stressed the crucial fact that extremism research shows people with prejudicial viewpoints tend, on average, to vastly overestimate the size of the groups towards which they hold such prejudices.There are other versions of this effect as well: confirmation bias, in which humans tend to equate how closely something aligns with their pre-existing views with its veracity, leads us to believe things even when we have significant reasons to doubt their truthfulness. When Trump claimed that children were having “sex changes” at schools, the fact that this is not only absurd but logistically impossible did little to stop the spread. It nevertheless made the rounds of conservative (and especially evangelical) social media at an astonishing rate, and pushed the boundaries of what was normal to claim within reason without sounding like you’ve lost all reason. That procedures which take full operating rooms, a dozen staff and as many hours in the OR, alongside week long admissions and months of healing could be done in the course of a school day without anyone being the wiser should have permanently burned the credibility of the world’s most notoriously dishonest man. But it was rhetorically useful, and because it was useful, it made it to print.

As it happens, it also made it to print in one of the darkly funniest op-eds ever written, excerpted here from the Portland Press Herald:

“I’m glad it’s come out that teachers are performing gender-altering surgeries at school. So much curriculum dumped on us, the scheduling, a logistical nightmare. We have team time – what many call “homeroom” – to work it in, 10 minutes a day. We’re expected to do three or four surgeries between American studies and AP physics and in our haste, we sometimes botch. The other day a girl came in as a girl and left as a girl. Embarrassing!”

Why did Josh Hawley claim this week in front of congree that “almost half” of all kids content on Netflix contained trans characters? While I think it’s equally plausible he made the number up out of thin air, it’s also true that over 200 Stories about Netflix and trans content appear in the dataset, despite the highest count I’ve been able to find of verifiable trans characters on Netflix kids shows being possibly 3 appearances in the past 5 years, with only one show featuring a trans cartoon protagonist. This last was summarily shut down after Elon Musk and Libs of Tiktok demanded a boycott via social media. Both posts were themselves served by Google News in the expanded dataset.

Why do conservatives believe that we’re everywhere, hiding in the bushes? Because powerful people won’t stop claiming it’s true, even if evidence to the contrary is everywhere.

To create fear, make them seem dangerous

Whereas prior to 2020, the majority of UK news about trans people focused on the UK, this has largely ceased to be true in the conservative press where articles about trans people generate a huge amount of revenue.

In November 2025, 16 months after the assassination attempt across the ocean in Pennsylvania, The Telegraph ran a story in the UK claiming that the alleged perpetrator, now deceased, “may have identified as nonbinary.” The claim appears to have originated in the US with Tucker Carlson, who claimed to have found secret social media accounts to verify the claim. This was, however, refuted by the FBI, who led the investigation. In response, the news media claimed that Trump’s own FBI was suppressing that information. The Daily Mail made a similar claim of conspiracy after the death of Charlie Kirk.

Technology has also accelerated this blurring of fiction, speculation, and fact. As I covered in posts about large language models, these fictive stories were so ubiquitous that several major chatbots attributed terrorist attacks and mass shootings to trans people long after the actual cisgender perpetrators were identified. As I’ve also covered previously, news aggregators had magnified this problem by creating duplicates not only of mainstream publications, but blogs and even social media posts. MSN’s news portal is automatically piped to every Windows computer on the planet simultaneously, with news alerts on start menus and push notifications displaying extremist websites alongside the Associated Press.

Church Militant, whose crusader iconography and literal calls to arms was a focus of the first in this series, ultimately shut down in 2024 after losing a half-million dollar defamation lawsuit brought by a New Hampshire priest. But during its brief tenure on the news index for the duration of the data collection period, it was served 47 times as news. In April 2023, when the scraper counted 8 separate news articles, the website ran a piece that claimed Democrats in Minnesota had tried to “make pedophiles a protected class.” What had actually happened was that two unrelated clauses, one irrelevant, the other incendiary, had been removed as part of the normal legislative process. This became the basis for the obviously false claim that Gov. Walz signed a bill adding pedophiles to protections for LGBTQ+ Minnesotans. The old language had been added during a previous anti-gay moral panic at the height of the AIDS crisis in 1993 to assuage bigoted lawmakers who feared basic human rights protections would “legalize pedophilia”. Everything old is new again.

Entertainment over information

Obviously it isn’t groundbreaking to say that our news diets have been increasingly shaped by social media. Driven in part by mergers in technology companies and media outlets, news indices have increasingly started to display social media posts. When I first saw this, I assumed it was an error and checked the settings of each of the feeds which comprise the data input source. When that didn’t pan any results, I looked it up. Google has indeed begun intentionally showing video content in the news column, and they’ve recently streamlined the process of adding these manually to the index. While it’s slightly occluded when no region is specified, the feeds which were specifically looking at the United States show a meteoric rise just before the US presidential election, and hitting an all-time high just after the inauguration.

This makes sense: short form video content represents a growing proportion of the internet, and is the preferred social media style for people under the age of 30. It also presents a significant fact-checking problem, which is that searching inside video content is still in development and highly resource intensive.

Bombastic claims without citation are easier to make and harder to find on purpose, and what makes for viral content on YouTube is very different than its counterparts in the world of longform journalism. While Google claims that only the videos of verified news outlets will make it into the News index, this is demonstrably false. One such source is a relatively small channel with a video called “End harm wreaked by trans agenda”, which was served last year. However, “verified news outlets” haven’t shied from bombastic videos either. 108 of the observations recorded in 2025 from foxnews.com were video content. These included titles such as “Catholic schools have been 'hijacked,' 'corrupted by gender ideology”. That doesn’t include any local affiliates, either, which will be coming later. A single outlet, the one which happens to be the favorite of the president of the United States, can’t stop talking about us.

That’s the outrage factory.

 
 

Just started doing new data analysis and I know I keep saying this, but: I really, really don't think people appreciate how much this moral panic was a deliberate and extremely expensive invention.

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— Jessica Kant (@jessdkant.bsky.social) January 27, 2026 at 10:12 PM
 

Usual data housekeeping points:

Given all
the usual caveats about how Google processes pages with shoddy HTML that show unrelated stubs and therefore are captured in the index by accident, the majority of this analysis will focus on major media outlets whose appearance in the dataset can be relied upon to reflect an accurate positive hit. The design of the scraper uses multiple variables to account for idiosyncrasies in how Google returns news items from the index. Analyses therefore avoid combining regions and/or keywords, and to avoid artificially inflating the data. distinct() functions are used at points to filter out duplicates and near-duplicates.

 

The anti-trans hate machine has no intention of slowing down. Having just checked the newest data, it's actually accelerating. It was media that allowed us to get to this crisis point, but search engines, disinformation, and LLMs are now fanning the flames.

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— Jessica Kant (@jessdkant.bsky.social) March 23, 2024 at 3:47 AM
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“What we choose to emphasize”